An Integrated Geotechnical Framework for Flood-Induced Ground Failure and Infrastructure Resilience in Charsadda, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan

Authors

Keywords:

flood geotechnics, scour, internal erosion, rapid drawdown, infrastructure resilience, decision support, Pakistan

Abstract

Introduction: Flood assessment in Pakistan is commonly organized around inundation depth, exposed population, and direct asset loss. These measures are necessary, but they do not explain why bridge approaches settle, riverbanks retreat, earthen bunds pipe, culvert embankments breach, or saturated foundations lose capacity. The limitation is important in Charsadda District, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, where the Kabul-Swat River system, low-relief alluvial terrain, irrigation infrastructure, and dispersed road networks create coupled hydraulic and ground-failure pathways.

Objective: This study develops an integrated, field-calibratable framework that connects flood loading, geotechnical failure mechanisms, infrastructure consequences, and intervention priorities for Charsadda.

Methodology: A systematic, PRISMA-informed evidence review was completed to 28 August 2025. Forty-four peer-reviewed studies, engineering standards, government reports, and authoritative data products were retained using transparent relevance and quality criteria. Evidence was appraised for source authority, methodological transparency, mechanism specificity, spatial transferability, and validation or uncertainty, then synthesized into a multiscale decision-support architecture.

Results: Five recurrent mechanism groups were identified: local and contraction scour, bank and surface erosion, seepage, uplift and internal erosion, saturation- and drawdown-induced instability, and settlement or bearing-capacity degradation. Existing Charsadda studies provide useful flood-hazard and social-vulnerability mapping but seldom connect hydraulic forcing with soil stratigraphy, erodibility, transient pore-water pressure, foundation geometry, or observed asset distress. IGFRF-Charsadda addresses this gap through district screening, corridor diagnosis, asset-level investigation, coupled hydraulic-geotechnical analysis, intervention selection, and performance monitoring. It also introduces a transparent risk priority index combining geotechnical hazard, asset-condition deficiency, exposure-consequence, and recovery difficulty.

Conclusion: The proposed framework provides a practical route from flood maps to defensible engineering decisions while maintaining a clear boundary between screening, detailed assessment, and design. Its provisional weights and action bands require local calibration, consistency testing, and sensitivity analysis before operational adoption.

References

Government of Pakistan, Asian Development Bank, European Union, United Nations, World Bank. Pakistan floods 2022: post-disaster needs assessment. Islamabad: Government of Pakistan; 2022. Available from: https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/099910201032325572

Tariq MAUR, van de Giesen N. Floods and flood management in Pakistan. Phys Chem Earth Parts A/B/C. 2012;47-48:11-20. doi:10.1016/j.pce.2011.08.014.

Sayama T, Ozawa G, Kawakami T, Nabesaka S, Fukami K. Rainfall-runoff-inundation analysis of the 2010 Pakistan flood in the Kabul River basin. Hydrol Sci J. 2012;57(2):298-312. doi:10.1080/02626667.2011.644245.

Khattak MS, Anwar F, Saeed TU, Sharif M, Sheraz K, Ahmed A. Floodplain mapping using HEC-RAS and ArcGIS: a case study of Kabul River. Arab J Sci Eng. 2016;41:1375-1390. doi:10.1007/s13369-015-1915-3.

Bibi T, Nawaz F, Abdul Rahman A, Azahari Razak K, Latif A. Flood risk assessment of River Kabul and Swat catchment area: District Charsadda, Pakistan. Int Arch Photogramm Remote Sens Spatial Inf Sci. 2018;XLII-4/W9:105-113. doi:10.5194/isprs-archives-XLII-4-W9-105-2018.

Hamidi AR, Jing L, Shahab M, Azam K, Tariq MAUR, Ng AW. Flood exposure and social vulnerability analysis in rural areas of developing countries: an empirical study of Charsadda District, Pakistan. Water. 2022;14(7):1176. doi:10.3390/w14071176.

Ibrahim M, Huo A, Ullah W, Ullah S, Ahmad A, Zhong F. Flood vulnerability assessment in the flood prone area of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. Front Environ Sci. 2024;12:1303976. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2024.1303976.

Ibrahim M, Huo A, Ullah W, Ullah S, Xuantao Z. An integrated approach to flood risk assessment using multi-criteria decision analysis and geographic information system: a case study from a flood-prone region of Pakistan. Front Environ Sci. 2025;12:1476761. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2024.1476761.

Eskandarinejad A, Nazari R, Nikoo MR, Arellano D, Pezeshk S, Ghasemi SH. A comprehensive review of geotechnical implications of floods and water-driven disasters. Sci Total Environ. 2025;985:179731. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.179731.

Johnston I, Murphy W, Holden J. A review of floodwater impacts on the stability of transportation embankments. Earth Sci Rev. 2021;215:103553. doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2021.103553.

Page MJ, McKenzie JE, Bossuyt PM, Boutron I, Hoffmann TC, Mulrow CD, et al. The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. BMJ. 2021;372:n71. doi:10.1136/bmj.n71.

de Brito MM, Evers M. Multi-criteria decision-making for flood risk management: a survey of the current state of the art. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci. 2016;16(4):1019-1033. doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1019-2016.

Farooq M, Shafique M, Khattak MS. Flood hazard assessment and mapping of River Swat using HEC-RAS 2D model and high-resolution 12-m TanDEM-X DEM. Nat Hazards. 2019;97:477-492. doi:10.1007/s11069-019-03638-9.

Rahman ZU, Ullah W, Bai S, Ullah S, Jan MA, Khan M, et al. GIS-based flood susceptibility mapping using bivariate statistical model in Swat River Basin, Eastern Hindukush region, Pakistan. Front Environ Sci. 2023;11:1178540. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2023.1178540.

Farish S, Munawar S, Siddiqua A, Alam N, Alam M. Flood risk zonation using GIS techniques: District Charsadda, 2010 floods Pakistan. Environ Risk Assess Remediat. 2017;1(2). doi:10.4066/2529-8046.100014.

Fida M, Hussain I, Tao W, Rashid A, Ali Shah SA. Land use and land cover change analysis of District Charsadda, Pakistan along Kabul River in 2010 flood: using advanced GIS and remote-sensing techniques. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci Discuss. 2020:1-16. doi:10.5194/nhess-2020-255.

Shah IA, Khan H, Muhammad Z, Ullah R, Iqbal S, Nafidi HA, et al. Evaluation of climate change impact on plants and hydrology. Front Environ Sci. 2024;12:1328808. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2024.1328808.

Iqbal MS, Dahri ZH, Querner EP, Khan A, Hofstra N. Impact of climate change on flood frequency and intensity in the Kabul River Basin. Geosciences. 2018;8(4):114. doi:10.3390/geosciences8040114.

Otto FEL, Zachariah M, Saeed F, Siddiqi A, Kamil S, Mushtaq H, et al. Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan. Environ Res Clim. 2023;2:025001. doi:10.1088/2752-5295/acbfd5.

Ushiyama T, Sayama T, Tatebe Y, Fujioka S, Fukami K. Numerical simulation of 2010 Pakistan flood in the Kabul River Basin by using lagged ensemble rainfall forecasting. J Hydrometeorol. 2014;15(1):193-211. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-13-011.1.

Arshad A, Mirchi A, He C, Shah AA, AghaKouchak A. Anthropogenic and climatic drivers of the 2022 mega-flood in Pakistan. npj Nat Hazards. 2025;2:57. doi:10.1038/s44304-025-00109-z.

Federal Flood Commission, Ministry of Water Resources, Government of Pakistan. National Flood Protection Plan IV (2016-2025). Islamabad: Federal Flood Commission; 2017. Available from: https://ffc.gov.pk/plans-policies/

Ministry of Climate Change and Environmental Coordination, Government of Pakistan. Pakistan National Adaptation Plan. Islamabad: Government of Pakistan; 2023.

Planning and Development Department, Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Flood Response Plan 2022. Peshawar: Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa; 2022. Available from: https://pndkp.gov.pk/2022/12/08/kp-government-prepared-flood-response-plan-2022/

Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. National Census Report 2023. Islamabad: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics; 2025. Available from: https://www.pbs.gov.pk/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/National-Census-Report-2023-1.pdf

United Nations Satellite Centre. Updated flood waters in Charsadda and Nowshera Districts, Pakistan. Product 2078. Geneva: UNOSAT; 2010 Aug 9. Available from: https://unosat.org/products/2078

Pakistan Engineering Council. Building Code of Pakistan 2021. Islamabad: Pakistan Engineering Council; 2021. Available from: https://www.pec.org.pk/thinktank/building-code-of-pakistan-thinktank/

Communication and Works Department, Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Highway Bridge Design Code 2025 (HBDC-25). Peshawar: Government of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa; 2025. Available from: https://seed-pk.com/bridge-code/

Arneson LA, Zevenbergen LW, Lagasse PF, Clopper PE. Evaluating scour at bridges. 5th ed. Hydraulic Engineering Circular No. 18, FHWA-HIF-12-003. Washington (DC): Federal Highway Administration; 2012.

US Army Corps of Engineers. Seepage analysis and control for dams. Engineer Manual EM 1110-2-1901. Washington (DC): USACE; 1986.

US Army Corps of Engineers. Slope stability. Engineer Manual EM 1110-2-1902. Washington (DC): USACE; 2003.

US Army Corps of Engineers. Design and construction of levees. Engineer Manual EM 1110-2-1913. Washington (DC): USACE; 2000.

Bruneau M, Chang SE, Eguchi RT, Lee GC, O'Rourke TD, Reinhorn AM, et al. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities. Earthquake Spectra. 2003;19(4):733-752. doi:10.1193/1.1623497.

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction. Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030. Geneva: UNDRR; 2015.

Saaty TL. The analytic hierarchy process: planning, priority setting, resource allocation. New York: McGraw-Hill; 1980.

van Genuchten MT. A closed-form equation for predicting the hydraulic conductivity of unsaturated soils. Soil Sci Soc Am J. 1980;44(5):892-898. doi:10.2136/sssaj1980.03615995004400050002x.

Foster M, Fell R, Spannagle M. The statistics of embankment dam failures and accidents. Can Geotech J. 2000;37(5):1000-1024. doi:10.1139/t00-030.

Fell R, Wan CF, Cyganiewicz J, Foster M. Time for development of internal erosion and piping in embankment dams. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng. 2003;129(4):307-314. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)1090-0241(2003)129:4(307).

Briaud JL, Ting FCK, Chen HC, Cao Y, Han SW, Kwak KW. Erosion function apparatus for scour rate predictions. J Geotech Geoenviron Eng. 2001;127(2):105-113. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)1090-0241(2001)127:2(105).

Farr TG, Rosen PA, Caro E, Crippen R, Duren R, Hensley S, et al. The Shuttle Radar Topography Mission. Rev Geophys. 2007;45:RG2004. doi:10.1029/2005RG000183.

Poggio L, de Sousa LM, Batjes NH, Heuvelink GBM, Kempen B, Ribeiro E, et al. SoilGrids 2.0: producing soil information for the globe with quantified spatial uncertainty. SOIL. 2021;7:217-240. doi:10.5194/soil-7-217-2021.

Pekel JF, Cottam A, Gorelick N, Belward AS. High-resolution mapping of global surface water and its long-term changes. Nature. 2016;540:418-422. doi:10.1038/nature20584.

Gorelick N, Hancher M, Dixon M, Ilyushchenko S, Thau D, Moore R. Google Earth Engine: planetary-scale geospatial analysis for everyone. Remote Sens Environ. 2017;202:18-27. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2017.06.031.

American Society of Civil Engineers. Flood resistant design and construction. ASCE/SEI 24-24. Reston (VA): ASCE; 2024.

Additional Files

Abstract Views: 2
PDF Downloads: 0

Published

2026-07-24

Issue

Section

Review Articles

How to Cite

An Integrated Geotechnical Framework for Flood-Induced Ground Failure and Infrastructure Resilience in Charsadda, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan. (2026). Innovative Research Journal of Engineering, 3(2), 1-21. https://irjpl.org/irjen/article/view/255